The First round of the playoffs, I was much better with my eastern conference predictions. Sadly, the only prediction I got wrong was the one for my favorite team, the Penguins, who lost in 7. The Pens were the only home team to lose game 7 and the only eastern conference home team to lose in the first round. The only prediction I had exactly right was the Capitals and the only western conference prediction I had correct was the Canucks. Of course, I thought they’d win in 5 (or perhaps 4) and they just barely won in 7 games.
Now, it’s time for my second round predictions…
Capitals vs. Lightning
Lightning in 6 – Both teams have had great post season goaltending, but I think Roloson is more likely to be able to sustain that performance. Unlike Washington’s offense, the Lightning offense doesn’t center around one player. Alex Ovechkin is only 10th in the playoffs when going by points per game, so if he really hits his stride in this round it might make the difference for the Caps, but I think the Lightning will still win this one.
Flyers vs. Bruins
Flyers in 6 – Both teams looked shaky in round one, but managed to pull through in game seven. Tim Thomas has not been the number one goalie of the playoffs (or even in the top five) and he was the reason I thought Boston would be unbeatable in the first round. Now that they have to face the Flyers, I can’t see them surviving this round.
Canucks vs. Predators
Predators in 6 – The Canucks just barely managed to win game seven in overtime after allowing Chicago to tie the series at three. Luongo looked better in game seven than he had his previous few games, but I still think he’s shaky and the team seems to look to him a bit too much. When Luongo is shaky, the rest of the Canucks follow suit. Daniel Sedin is the Canucks’ only player in the top 10 for playoff scoring and that’s only because they’ve played 7 games. When you sort by points per game, Daniel Sedin is tied for 16th. Mike Fisher of the Predators is tied at 16th with D. Sedin in points per game and the Predators are known more for their defense and Pekka Rinne’s goaltending. Rinne was not the top notch goaltender of the regular season in the first round, but I think he’ll be more solid in round two of the playoffs.
I also think the Predators want it more. They’ve never made it to round two of the playoffs before, so they’ll be very motivated to advance to their first conference finals.
Sharks vs. Red Wings
Red Wings in 5 – The Sharks did not look very strong in round one and the Red Wings have had a week to rest up for round two. Resting can be bad for teams in the playoffs, but generally benefits the older teams and the Red Wings should be well rested and ready to face the Sharks. San Jose’s number one goaltender (Antti Niemi) has been horrible. He’s ranked near the bottom in goals against average and save percentage. Detroit’s Jimmy Howard is just middle of the pack, but that should be enough to hold off San Jose.
The Sharks looked horrible in the first round of the playoffs (I believe if the Kings had worked a bit harder they would have been able to capitalize on San Jose’s shaky performance and eliminate them from the playoffs). In contrast, the Red Wings were dominant. The Coyotes never knew what hit them as Detroit swept them out of the playoffs in four games. The Red Wings had the only sweep in round one and I can’t imagine the Sharks pulling themselves together enough to eliminate Detroit from the playoffs. I hope the series goes longer, and could see it perhaps going to 6 games, but I think Detroit will continue to dominate and the Sharks will go home.
Enjoy the playoffs!